Compete with the Titans

The industry heavyweights have scale. You have grit. We give you the tools to outsmart them.

At Black Swan Management Group, we champion the underdogs—independent RIAs and fractional family offices hungry to punch above their weight. While big firms drown you in bureaucracy, we empower you with agility, tailored insight, and unwavering dedication.

We partner with advisors who refuse to be overshadowed. Our mission is simple: arm you with cutting-edge tactics—dynamic asset allocation, tactical risk management, and hybrid portfolios—so you can focus on cultivating client trust and driving long-term growth.

How We Help

📤 Outsource Chief Investment Officer
🎯 Tailored Portfolio Management
🗝️ Turnkey Asset Management
🛡️ Tactical Models Built to Withstand Market Shocks

Our data-driven approach removes emotion, embraces discipline, and adapts to changing conditions—so you and your clients can stay focused on long-term goals, not short-term headlines.

Why Advisors Choose Us

🛡️📉 Reduce Risk: Our strategies are built to protect capital during volatile and down markets — combining risk management disciplines with real-time oversight.

🔀⚙️ Gain Flexibility: We integrate seamlessly into your firm — whether you want model delivery, sub-advisory support, or full-service outsourced CIO solutions.

🤝⏳ Focus on Clients: You stay fully engaged with your clients, while we handle portfolio design, manager selection, trading, and investment oversight behind the scenes.

🚀📊 Get Results: We combine innovative strategies with disciplined execution to pursue high-probability outcomes across all market cycles.

Ready to outfox the big dogs?

Let’s make it happen.

Black Swan Management Group: The Underdog’s Edge in a World of Titans.

Are U.S Equities now Global?

Traditionally, U.S. stocks have been like that one loyal friend you always kept in your local circle, while international stocks were the adventurous pals you kept around for a bit of excitement (and a splash of diversification). But with the world becoming more connected, the U.S. stock market has gotten a serious passport upgrade! This quarter’s newsletter dives into why it might be time to start thinking of U.S. stocks as part of your global friend group instead of a separate category altogether. We’ll break down the forces making U.S. companies more international, how our stock market indices are changing, […]

Blockchain and Digital Assets

BLACK SWAN Management Group is proud to recognize Brad Carroll for obtaining DACFP’s Certificate in Blockchain and Digital Assets®. This certificate is presented by the Digital Assets Council of Financial Professionals and the New York Institute of Finance. A new survey says 92% of clients expect their advisors to give them advice about this new asset class. DACFP’s certificate shows advisors how to incorporate digital assets into practice management and all regulatory, compliance and tax issues. The Certificate in Blockchain and Digital AssetsSM course is the only certificate program designed for financial professionals. Graduates of the program gain the essential […]

What is a Black Swan Event?

Black Swan events are those that come by surprise and are a deviation from what is normal. Originally a Latin expression, it was believed that black swans did not exist, until the first one was seen in the wild, and then came to mean extremely rare. It was popularized by philosopher/author/professor Nassim Nicholas Taleb, and he explains Black Swan events in his book, Fooled by Randomness: “First, it is an outlier, as it lies outside the realm of regular expectations, because nothing in the past can convincingly point to its possibility. Second, it carries an extreme ‘impact’. Third, in spite of […]

How Stock Market Indexes Are Weighted: Price, Value, and Equal Weighting Explained

When investing in stock market indexes, it’s important to understand how different indexes are weighted. The weighting method affects index performance, investor returns, and exposure to various types of risk. There are three primary methods for weighting stocks within an index: 1. Price-Weighted Indexes Price-weighted indexes assign greater influence to stocks with higher share prices, regardless of the company’s actual size or market capitalization. In this method, each stock’s price is summed and divided by a divisor to determine the index level. Example: The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) is a classic price-weighted index. This approach can skew performance. A […]

Inflation & Expectations: Why Markets React the Way They Do

Inflation isn’t just about prices going up — it’s about how businesses, markets, and people expect prices to behave in the future. And those expectations? They have a real impact on today’s markets. Supply Chains, Federal Spending & Inflation: A Feedback Loop Supply chain disruptions, fiscal stimulus, and consumer demand all interact in ways that make inflation incredibly complex. For example: As former Federal Reserve Chair Ben Bernanke put it back in 2007: “The state of inflation expectations greatly influences actual inflation.” Put simply: what people expect often becomes reality. Inflation Expectations Are Sticky — But Not Unbreakable While inflation […]

Where Behavioral Finance Meets Portfolio Engineering

Personalizing Risk Exposure: A Quantitative Approach to Risk-Return Optimization In the age of algorithmic investing, digital advisors, and AI-powered portfolio optimization, personalizing risk for each investor has never been more precise—or more complicated. While many fintech platforms tout “personalized risk scoring” or “automated asset allocation,” these often rely on behind-the-scenes calculations grounded in financial theory. One such framework is the risk aversion-adjusted allocation model, which blends client psychology with empirical market data to calibrate exposure to risky assets. At its core, one way to quantify appropriate risk exposure for an investor is through the following equation: \[ y = \frac{E(r_p) […]

UITs, Mutual Funds, CEFs, ETNs & ETFs: Key Differences

One Law, Many Structures Although each vehicle pools investor cash, their mechanics vary sharply. Below, you will find concise snapshots that highlight how they diverge—no recommendations, just facts. 1. Unit Investment Trusts (UITs) Fixed-term, buy-and-hold baskets Feature Details Portfolio Created once, then left unchanged. Management Passive after launch. Share Flow Units sold by the sponsor and later redeemed by the trustee. Pricing Initial offer at a slight premium; thereafter quoted NAV from sponsor. Liquidity Limited; cash arrives only after trustee processes redemption. Tax Impact Few capital-gain events until termination, because turnover is near zero. 2. Open-End Mutual Funds Continuously issued […]

Compete with the Titans

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Why Advisors Choose Us

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